When AI Sounds Confident but Doesn’t Know Better

AI makes it easy to sound smart. The hard part is being right. vAST delivers trusted, normalized, entitlement-aware financial data to AI agents — so intelligence scales without scaling overconfidence.

Tim Baker
4 min read
When AI Sounds Confident but Doesn’t Know Better
The path to expertise is built on high quality data

Whether you’re vibe-coding an app at home — or building a professional GPT to support finance professionals — you need reliable, verified, authoritative data delivered in a form your project can effortlessly consume. That's where viaNexus Agentic Services Technology (vAST) comes in.

AI has lowered the barrier to building powerful applications almost to zero.

You can spin up an agent in an afternoon. Wire it to an LLM. Give it a prompt, a tool, a dataset. Suddenly, it sounds intelligent!

This is true whether you’re:

  • vibe-coding a personal project at home, or
  • building a production-grade “GPT” intended to support traders, analysts, portfolio managers, or risk teams.

But here’s the uncomfortable truth:

Most AI applications fail not because the model is weak — but because the foundation is.

That’s where the viaNexus Agentic Services Technology (vAST) comes in.

The hidden risk: confidence without competence

There’s a well-documented cognitive bias called the Dunning–Kruger effect:
people with limited knowledge tend to overestimate their competence, while true experts are more aware of uncertainty and limits.

AI unintentionally amplifies this effect.

Modern LLMs produce:

  • fluent language
  • confident reasoning
  • polished outputs

But fluency is not understanding.

In complex, regulated domains like finance, the danger isn’t hallucinations in isolation — it’s confident conclusions drawn from weak, misaligned, or unauthorized data, and then acted upon at scale.

A little bit of knowledge has always been dangerous. AI just makes it faster.

What most AI stacks get wrong

Most AI tooling focuses on:

  • model selection
  • prompt engineering
  • orchestration
  • UX

Dangerously, less attention is paid to:

  • where the data comes from
  • whether it’s licensed for the intended use
  • how reliable or authoritative it is
  • whether it’s normalized and comparable
  • what market or regulatory semantics apply

As a result, agents often reason over:

  • scraped or synthetic content
  • inconsistent identifiers
  • mismatched timestamps
  • unclear real-time vs delayed status
  • data they were never entitled to use in the first place!

The output may look impressive — until it’s scrutinized by a professional, a compliance team, or a regulator! GULP

 vAST: the missing layer for agentic finance

vAST (viaNexus Agentic Services Technology) exists to solve this problem.

Not just by making AI smarter — but by making AI more disciplined, grounded, and professional.

vAST sits between:

  • high-quality data sources (our own and from trusted and vetted partners), and
  • the agents and applications that consume them

providing the structural guardrails that AI workflows typically lack.

 Curated data, not random inputs

viaNexus curates best-in-class third-party data from:

  • exchanges and reference data sources
  • news providers
  • analytics specialists
  • alternative data vendors

This is not a data dump.

We select providers that:

  • are authoritative in their domain
  • operate under clear licensing frameworks
  • meet professional expectations for accuracy, timeliness, and reliability

That data is then normalized and enriched, so agents aren’t reasoning over disconnected fragments.

 Normalization + reference data = shared reality

One of the most common failure modes in AI systems is silent inconsistency:

  • different identifiers for the same instrument
  • mismatched symbology
  • incompatible calendars
  • conflicting entity definitions

viaNexus addresses this by combining curated partner content with highly reliable reference and symbology data.

The result:

  • a single, coherent view of markets
  • consistent identifiers across datasets
  • shared semantics that both humans and agents can rely on
  • lower "reasoning" costs

This matters far more than most people realize — especially when decisions carry real financial or regulatory consequences.

Entitlements: knowing what an agent is allowed to know

AI systems are very good at overreaching. Just ask ChatGPT to tell you where it fetched its data from - all over the internet - and from sources that have licensed data solely for non-professional use. So if that data shows up in a response from a GPT from inside your firm - then you have created a licensing issue.

vAST enforces entitlement-aware access, ensuring that agents:

  • only see data they are licensed to access
  • only use data in permitted ways
  • respect display vs non-display rules
  • inherit the same constraints a human professional would

This does something subtle but important: It prevents agents from hallucinating authority where none exists.

That alone eliminates a major source of overconfidence.

 Domain semantics baked in, not hand-waved

Complex domains like finance are full of distinctions that matter:

  • authoritative vs contextual
  • primary vs derived
  • fact vs opinion
  • point-in-time vs revised
  • source-specific vs aggregated

These nuances are easy to gloss over — and novices often do. Experts never do.

viaNexus encodes this domain context directly into the data layer, so agents operating through vAST don’t have to infer or guess. They inherit the structure, provenance, and intent of the data automatically.

This is how you avoid outcomes that are technically plausible, but professionally wrong — and why discipline at the data layer matters as much as intelligence at the model layer.

Designed friction is a feature, not a bug

Most AI platforms optimize relentlessly for speed.

vAST is optimized for appropriate hesitation.

That means:

  • clear provenance
  • visible assumptions
  • entitlement checks
  • signals when confidence should pause

This mirrors how real professionals work. And it quietly nudges users — human or agent — away from Dunning–Kruger territory and toward real competence.

From vibe-coding to production, without changing foundations

One of the most powerful aspects of vAST is continuity.

The same foundation can support:

  • a weekend experiment
  • an internal proof of concept
  • a regulated, production-grade system

You don’t have to rewrite your architecture when:

  • compliance gets involved
  • clients ask hard questions
  • regulators appear
  • the stakes increase

You’ve already built on solid ground.

 The bottom line

AI makes it easy to sound right.
vAST helps ensure you are right — or at least minimally uncertain!

Whether you’re:

  • vibe-coding an app at home, or
  • building a professional GPT to support finance professionals

you need:

  • high-quality, curated data
  • normalized and grounded in reliable reference datasets
  • delivered with clear provenance
  • governed by entitlements
  • and embedded with real market semantics

That’s what viaNexus and vAST provides.

In a world racing to make everyone feel like an expert, we’re focused on something harder — and far more valuable: Scaling intelligence without scaling overconfidence. 

Learn more here: https://vianexus.com/vast/

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